Elections

National View: No Clear Win is a Win For Obama

Biden-Ryan-VP-Debate

Vice President Joe Biden appears to have done what he needed to do against Paul Ryan.    He was never going to get, nor did he really to do to Congressman Ryan, what Mitt Romney did to Obama.  What he needed to do was be fiery, combative, call out what the Obama campaign is calling lies and deception, and fight for their record.

On Thursday night, for the most part, he did just that.  The two most widely available polls largely reflect that.  A CNN poll of debate-watchers gave Mr. Ryan a slight edge of 48 to 44, basically a tie.  A CBS poll of undecided voters found it was 50 to 31 for the Vice President with another 19 percent calling it a tie.

Former President Clinton Packs the Quad at UCD

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A month out from the November election, the last place you expect to find a former President is in the middle of blue territory in a reliably blue state.  But former President Bill Clinton’s visit to UC Davis was more about four Congressional races than about the Presidency.

A huge crowd estimated loosely by officials to be 8,000 to 12,000 and, given the gaps in the configuration, the lower estimate is likely more accurate, packed in to watch the former President who last appeared at the ARC in 2008 – a venue that ended up with 5000 angry people on the outside looking in.

The Right to Know What is in Your Food

GMOsby Jan Woods –

GUEST COMMENTARY – People want the right to know what is in their food.  But powerful interests with long histories of deceiving the public, endangering human health, and polluting our planet are trying to deny us this basic right.  How? The usual way–by throwing huge amounts of money, to the tune of $38 million, to be used to fog up television airtime, radio waves and voters’ cognitive abilities with deceptive T.V. and radio commercials.

Led by Monsanto ($7.1 million and counting), DuPont (4.9 million), PepsiCo, Nestle, Hershey, and Kellogg, a host of chemical and junk food manufacturers have donated huge sums of money to defeat the YES on 37 campaign, hoping voters will go into the booths on November 6 thoroughly confused about the true nature of Proposition 37, the California Right to Know /Label GMO Proposition.

National View: Republican Truthers Assert Denmark Claims on Economic Recovery

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On the whole, it was not a good week for President Obama.  He performed poorly in the first debate, looking weak, timid and disinterested, and appeared to give Governor Mitt Romney the opening he desperately needed to get back into the race.

The bad week was widely expected to get worse as the September jobs report was expected to be worse and to be showing more of the same in terms of a disappointing and lagging recovery.

National View: Race Back on as Romney Dominates First Debate

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The long-anticipated first debate featured a desperate Governor Mitt Romney facing a President Obama, who appeared to be sitting on his lead, trying to play prevent defense and not make any major errors.

But, as happens so often, playing it safe inevitably allows the opposition to seize the initiative, and Governor Romney not only seized the initiative, he seized the stage and, with the help of the inept performance by Jim Lehrer who was clearly out of his depths as moderator, at least of this formula, he controlled the night.

National View: Why It is Romney and Not Obama on the Ropes This Week

Romney-MJ-VideoIt is difficult to have designed, let alone imagined, a worse week for the Mitt Romney campaign.  How bad was it?  The Romney campaign actually released his tax returns for 2011 to distract from the focus on his statements that came out earlier in the week with regard to 47% of the electorate.

Reading some of the commentary this week from Republicans has been interesting.  Peggy Noonan, former speech writer from the Reagan administration, has been particularly eloquent.

Special Commentary: A Glimpse into the Truth Beyond the Talking Points

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Romney’s Video Moment Betrays a Loathing, Disdain for the Average American –

The term class warfare has been increasingly used in recent election cycles to denigrate efforts to point out the disparate impact of policies on the rich versus the poor.  The truth is that there are legitimate policy implications of tax policies that divide the political landscape in this country.

The comments that Mitt Romney is in hot water for making are not new comments, both in the sense that the video is old and in that the thoughts behind them are even older.

My View: Voter ID Laws Are a Solution in Search of a Problem and Far Worse

voter-fraud-billboardWe quickly forget our history in this country and we do so to our own detriment.  It was, after all, not that long before my time that states used onerous poll taxes and literacy requirements to deny whole classes of people their franchise – the most fundamental of all rights in a democracy.

The 24th Amendment to the Constitution was only passed in 1962.  It granted that the right to vote in any national election “shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or any State by reason of failure to pay any poll tax or other tax” and gave Congress the power to enforce this right.

Early, My View: Only Fools Ask Are We Better Off Than We Were Four Years Ago

Lehman-Brothers-collapseIn 1980, Ronald Reagan was able to rhetorically turn a close election a week before the polls into a comfortable Election Day victory by famously asking, “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?”

While President Obama’s speech last night was generally well received, he did have to backtrack from his soaring rhetoric about change we can believe in.  And so, he argued last night, ”Our problems can be solved, our challenges can be met.”

My View: Is It the Party Conventions or TV Networks That Are Irrelevant?

smoke-filled-roomThere are three basic trends for conventions.  First, the TV networks have been cutting back on their coverage of conventions for years.  Now they are just covering about four hours over three nights.

Second, the Republican convention’s audience dropped about 30 percent over the audience from four years ago.  Experts suspect there will be a similar drop next year.

Weak Jobs Market Compounds Bad Local News on the Economy and Budget

jobsKey Question Now: Is President Obama in Trouble?

The local picture is bleak.  A recent Field Poll has the governor’s tax initiative passing 54-35, but most analysts believe those numbers are not strong enough in a traditionally anti-tax state.

The loss of the tax measure would put more pressure on local voters to step up to avoid a catastrophic $7.5 million shortfall to the local schools.  In the meantime, the city faces about $8 million in cuts at the same time it is pushing for at least a $100 million surface water project.

Commentary: Davis – Wisconsin: Unions, Citizens United and Bears, Oh My

welcome-to-wisconsinLast year, during the heat of the debate on the budget in the city of Davis, there was a comment by Firefighters Union President Bobby Weist, comparing a proposed budget cut to Wisconsin.  There were even signs to that effect.  So it is ironic that the two issues come together, Davis and Wisconsin, this week.

The title of the editorial this week in the local paper was “Wisconsin governor wins and unions lose.”  Now wouldn’t you think that we have had an historic election in Davis, and that the local paper in their Sunday edition might want something, I don’t know, local?

Redistricting and Blanket Primaries Make For Compelling Congressional Races

Garamendi2How much has redistricting and blanket primaries actually changed the dynamics of California politics?  It is difficult to know just yet, but the combination is producing some compelling Congressional elections – however, some of that is produced by the one-time phenomenon of redistricting forcing two incumbents – sometimes of the same party – into a single district.

Yolo County has one of the more intriguing congressional races developing.  John Garamendi is a name most Californians know – he has spent years building and rebuilding a political career in Sacramento.

Local Democrats Hammered with Heavy Fines for Reporting Violations

campaign-financeThe Vanguard has learned that the Davis Democratic Club is being fined for multiple election law reporting and filing violations, from a period that began in 2007 and ended in 2010.

According to the California Fair Political Practices Commission (FPPC) website, the Davis Democratic Club stipulated to four counts of violating state election laws.  While the initial fines faced by the club as the result of the FPPC’s findings were far greater, they eventually negotiated the settlement down to 9,500 dollars.  The settlement has been placed on the FPPC agenda for the Commission to review and approve at their March 15, 2012 meeting.

Commentary: When We Talk About Contraception Rather than Jobs

limbaughEvery so often it is necessary to poke one’s head out from the local scene to watch what is unfolding nationally.  If you had asked me in December, I would have told you I thought that President Barack Obama would lose re-election.  But the last two months have really solidified in my mind that this will not happen.

I have said this before, but 2012 is basically 2004 all over again, with the parties reversed.  In 2004, Democrats thought that they would defeat President George Bush.  Even with the selection of liberal Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, I honestly believed he would win, up until the networks took back their projection that Senator Kerry would win Florida, which was based on faulty exit polls.

Commentary: Game Over For Republicans in 2012?

obama-changeIt is a provocative headline, but there is some truth behind it as well.  There are political scientists who believe that political campaigns do not matter.  What matters is the state of the economy prior to the election.

This week, a model, one of many in existence “created by David Rothschild and Patrick Hummel, predicts that Mr. Obama will carry 303 electoral votes this fall.”

Vanguard Look At the GOP Caucus in Iowa

Vote-stock-slideFormer Utah Governor Jon Huntsman said that the historically close Iowa Caucus results show that the race is still “wide open” for Republican contenders.  He had better hope so, because he finished in last place in the caucuses, although he also did not actively campaign in Iowa.

Despite the close results and surge by former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, the smart money is still on Mitt Romney emerging as the ultimate challenger to Barack Obama.

Redistricting Means Garamendi for Davis and Pain for the Republicans

Garamendi2John Garamendi represented Davis once previously, as State Senator.  In fact, every time he comes back to Davis to speak, he remembers the community fondly.

Right now it looks like Davis will fall into the 3rd Congressional District, included with parts of Yolo, Solano, Sacramento, Lake, Colusa, Glenn, Sutter and Yuba counties.

Redistricting Plan: Bad for Yolo; Good for Competitiveness and Democrats?

senate-2012.pngYolo County officials are necessarily concerned that the county is currently slated to be cut into thirds, separating, of all things, Woodland from Davis, two communities just seven miles apart.

“The maps could disenfranchise the interests of Yolo County citizens,” wrote Supervisors Jim Provenza and Don Saylor, speaking on behalf of the county Board of Supervisors in a letter to the California Citizens Redistricting Commission

New Legislative Maps Threaten Davis and Yolo County Power

assemblymember-mariko-yamadaSince 1996, Davis has been represented in the Assembly by a Davis resident.  Starting with Helen Thomson, continuing with Lois Wolk and now Mariko Yamada, a Davis resident has held the Assembly seat in a district that included most of Yolo and Eastern Solano County.

While that was one of the few districts that really made demographical and geographical sense, that is now in doubt with the district maps that were released Friday.