Nationally recognized crime analyst Jess Asher, co-founder of AH Datalytics, projects that the U.S. murder rate could reach a record low in 2026, according to FBI data trends. Asher anticipates a 10 percent reduction in murders, although recent data from 30 major cities indicates a slower rate of decline compared to previous years.
A recent analysis by Jeff-alytics indicates a significant decline in the United States murder rate, with many major cities recording their lowest figures since the 1990s. This trend is corroborated by a Council on Criminal Justice report, which documented a 16% decrease in homicides over the last three years, reaching rates not observed since the early 1900s.
Murder rates in the US are dropping at an unprecedented rate, with data from the Real Time Crime Index showing a 19% decrease through August 2025, marking the third consecutive year of declines and suggesting a broader trend of falling crime overall.
WASHINGTON, D.C. – The first quarter of 2025 has shown a significant decline in national crime rates,…